The past few days have been quite interesting on in the realm of international relations. We learned about the existence of a second Iranian nuclear facility, capable of making the high grade weapons material they obviously want.
Today, the news has been coming out about Iran test firing short to medium range missiles, clearly a threat directed at Israel and a big middle finger directed at the Western democracies.
Brazil is talking about getting nukes, China is showing off new missiles and Venezuela is in favor of all of it so long as it makes the Americans look foolish.
And make us look foolish it does, while our Utopian Dreamer in Chief waxes on and on about a world free of nukes, the rest of the world sees the human nature and the state of the world as it really is and is arming itself accordingly.
The worls has also apparently lost faith in the United States. French President Sarkozy is openly ripping Obama's UN speech, Irans President nutjob claims the US supports him and British PM Gordon Brown looks sick as a dog every time he stands behind Obama, listening to some speech about sanctions.
The situation on everyone's mind is the supposed showdown between Iran and the United States. I've got bad news friends, that showdown already happened and Iran won. If they are willing to openly admit to the second facility, you know they secretly have much more ready to go. I wouldn't be surprised if the already have all the weapons grade material they need and are close to the warhead/trigger system needed to mount a hot warhead to a new medium range ballistic missile.
The Western world has shown its weakness and allowed an absolute lunatic regime, threatening to obliterate another nation, to develop nukes. That deal is done.
The question everybody should be asking is if Israel, head firmly on the chopping block, should fire up one of its nuclear missiles and preemptivly obliterate Iran.
I say yes.
Israel has beaten back hordes of invaders for more years than any one nation should have too. After the United Nations granted Israel statehood, it promptly abandoned them and became and increasingly anti-Semitic organization, regularly condemning the Jews for not giving up large chunk of their tiny country to the Palestinians, who have no legitimate claim to the area. No such requests have ever been made of Iraq, Iran, Syria, Kuwait, or any of the other Muslim nations that have land that used to be part of the Palestinian Mandate, formerly under British control.
Given the increasing evidence that the United States will abandon them in this conflict, Israel must ask themselves whether any other nuclear power will aid them. India? No, China, Pakistan, North Korea or Russia? Please. That leaves only the British and French to possibly stand up to the Iranians. Sarkozy is a good man but I don't think he has the political capital to reasonably threaten Iran. The French military isn't quite up to snuff at the moment and actually using a nuclear weapon might actually bring about the sixth Republic. France has a sizable anti-French Islamic movement already within its borders and a general weariness to war. As for the British, god bless the Brits but they are already war weary from Afghanistan and have been shamed recently by the poor state of readiness of the military. A recent report showed that the British army was too fat and had not enough warrior spirit to be combat effective. That also leaves them only a nuclear deterrent. Unfortunately, Gordon Brown is near to a vote of no confidence. Unless taking a stand to defend Israel somehow would unify the country around him (highly unlikely) he simply doesn't have enough legitimate public support to even threaten nuclear deterrent.
This is Israels dilemma. One thing that usually weighs in favor of the Jews is that the hostile nations that surround it rarely are on the same page and work together to try and destroy Israel. With a powerful lead nation backed by nukes and without meaningful western opposition however, all the Muslim nations might find this the opportune time to band together and finish off Israel for good.
Israel has long been a military powerhouse but it seems unlikely that they could withstand that assault without significant assistance. That's why they need to remove Iran's nuclear capabilities with one hundred percent certainty. Nobody is absolutely sure how much firepower the Jews have but after all this time it should be assumed they have more than a few nukes. They need to use a couple and eliminate the Iranian threat.
This would predictably cause an uproar from the worlds delusional liberal types and madmen dictators. They hate Israel and always have but all their chattering would amount to just words. As we've seen, the threats of other democracies mean little and tinpot dictators use Israel as a foil for their complaints. They cannot threaten the Jews militarily.
Besides, the Western democracies have only themselves to blame for this. Years of browbeating Israel and placating genocidal regimes has fostered an environment where the leader of a terrorist state could openly develop nuclear weapons while threatening to use said weapons to wipe another nation state off the map all without any significant response from the world at large.
Should a serious conflict arise, nuclear or conventional, the first casualty should be the United Nations. Had they even paid slight attention to their own charter, Israel would not be in a position to fend off another genocidal nation all by itself. It is a shameful dereliction of its fundamental principle, that this exact situation would be prevented. The second casualty should be the liberal world viewpoint. Given a prime opportunity to prove that collective deterrent through institutions and dialogue is more effective than the realist deterrent through military capability and leverage, liberalism has failed miserably. This isn't the first time but hopefully it will be the last. No longer should any realist have to be lectured about warmongering or diplomacy. The majority of this earth is still governed by aggression and the unequal balance of power and we need to stop pretending it isn't. The Western democracies, living in peace with guaranteed liberties, etc. need to accept the fact that at this moment in time, liberty and freedom are the exception not the rule and that it needs to be defended aggressively. If that point has to be made with a mushroom cloud, and it seems it does, I hope it's in Tehran and not Tel Aviv. The world has enough dictators but it's sorely lacking in freedom.
Monday, September 28, 2009
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How come nobody seems to recall that it was exactly this kind of appeasement mentality that lead to world war two ?? Is 50 + years so long a time that the west has already forgotten the lesson of history ?
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