2010 United States Senate - CO

In a recent poll by Rasmussen now shows Aurora City Councilman Ryan Frazier with a 1%(40-39) lead over incumbent Democrat Michael Bennett.

This poll was taken on September 9th. A previous poll by PPP on August 14-16 showed Bennett with a 5% advantage (38-33).

This is meaningful for a few reasons. First, it shows a steady climb by Frazier. Relatively unknown outside the Denver area, Frazier has made a number of stops along the font range to gain better name recognition. It appears to be working. I suspect if you had access to the deeper polling statistics, you would see quite a jump in popularity in the Colorado Springs area along with smaller but apparent increases in approval in Pueblo/Huerfano County but that's just personal speculation. Second important factor is that Bennett is stuck around 38% in all the polls. This could be indicative that the low 40's/high 30's is his ceiling for popularity. If so, that means game over. Lastly, Frazier rival Ken Buck has not been able to make any headway against Bennett, consistently polling 5 to 6 points behind. He may have found his popularity ceiling as well.

There are still two unknowns for Frazier. As of yet, I haven't found any polling for a Frazier/Tidwell primary or even a Bennett - Tidewell general election. He must not have actually filed yet.

Jane Norton has filed and a one day poll shows her with a nine point lead over Bennett. This is bad for Bennett but no really enlightening for the Republican primary. She hasn't gone out to give speeches yet as far as I know, so she is just polling on name alone at this point.